Latest Plans
Read the latest insights into the S&P 500.
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ES Weekend March 29
Markets have now entered a more fragile phase, and I do not think that should be minimized. ES has broken down through the bottom of the multi-month balance, and that is a meaningful technical development that deserves respect until proven otherwise. While the selloff may feel stretched and a relief
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ES Weekend March 15
We have contract roll this week, with ES and NQ moving from the March contracts into June. TradingView will switch the front contracts Monday night ahead of Tuesday’s session. Generally speaking, the levels themselves should continue to work reasonably well on the new contract, but of course their meaning changes
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ES Weekend March 8
Markets are entering the week in a precarious spot. ES has now lost an important yearly level (6804-12) and is sitting at a meaningful inflection point, while volatility remains elevated and credit continues to wave a caution flag in the background. That does not automatically mean some kind of crash
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ES Weekend March 1
We’ve been monitoring this multi-month balance closely since October, when the potential for a larger consolidation was first identified (see 2026 Balance Prime). For the first time since the 2025 low, sellers have accomplished something meaningful on higher timeframes that can’t be ignored. That doesn’t imply a crash is imminent, but