Trading higher, trading lower, and the important levels between. A scenario-led map for the week ahead. IN THIS EDITION Strength is constructive.Confirmation is still the job. Bulls still have the ball, but they need to do more with it. New all-time highs continue to arrive as a sluggish grind, followed […]
ES Weekend
ES Weekend Sept 27
Bulls still have control. Now the breakout needs to stick. The opening move was fast enough to push both ES and NQ beyond their weekly expected moves, and the rest of the week brought the digestion you might expect. But the takeaway is simple: sellers had their shot, and they […]
ES Weekend Sept 20
Contract roll and FOMC are behind us, but the market still has something to prove. After 13 weeks of consolidation, the limited upside follow-through leaves the breakout vulnerable. Higher prices remain possible, but until buyers deliver sustained acceptance and expansion, we need to respect the possibility of marginal new highs […]
ES Weekend Sept 13
ES finally tested one of the deeper downside areas we have been watching for several weeks, and the response from that zone now becomes the defining question for the week ahead. Last week’s decline reached the 7588-7595 backtest area on the ESU contract, with the low printing at 7585.5. On […]
ES Weekend Sept 7
This week is shaping up to be more about patience and execution than prediction. ES remains inside a multi-week balance, the recent profiles have been messy, and September contract roll should add another layer of noise as institutional participation returns following the holiday-shortened week. Unless price can escape last week’s […]
ES Weekend Aug 30
Weekly Pivot: 7702-7712Upside Pivot: 7790-7800Downside Pivot: 7624-76343WK Balance: 7655-7838 ES enters the week with a modest bullish advantage, but buyers have little room for complacency. Last week’s recovery preserved a constructive weekly structure, while Friday’s sharp rejection showed that overhead supply remains active. The dividing line is 7702-7712: holding this […]
ES Weekend Aug 23
Last week delivered an important shift in market character. The issue was not simply that ES declined from an all-time high, it was the speed of the move and the near total absence of meaningful buyer defense. ES rejected 7792-7796 (last Friday’s low) early Monday, cut through the prior week’s […]
ES Weekend July 26
ES enters the final week of July at a critical inflection point. After spending weeks consolidating near the highs, the market is finally attempting to test the lower edge of its intermediate-term structure (7350’s). The broader trend has not yet broken, but the character of the tape has changed enough […]
ES Weekend July 19
ES enters the week with sellers holding the near-term edge, but the larger auction remains firmly inside a prolonged higher-timeframe balance. After ten consecutive weeks of consolidation, the market is no longer offering easy directional conviction. Instead, the opportunity lies in reading how price behaves at the edges of balance, […]
ES Weekend July 12
After several weeks of consolidation, ES continues to work through a constructive bullish structure. Last week delivered a classic false failed breakout, where sellers briefly appeared to regain control but failed to generate downside follow-through. That failure led to an upside breakout and a move back toward the June highs, […]