As of now, the three-month balance has broken to the upside, with Friday closing just nine points above the range. With the door only slightly cracked open, I’ll remain cautious heading into next week, though bulls are innocent until proven guilty. The reaction to NFP was notably weak. Bulls managed […]
ES Weekend
January 3, 2026
ES Weekend Jan 4
Welcome to 2026. For many participants, this first week often sets the tone for the year. The so-called Santa Rally turned out to be a mixed bag—depending on when (or if) you were involved. The Santa window officially closes on Monday, which raises the question: can bulls salvage it in […]
December 28, 2025
ES Weekend Dec 28
So far, the holiday period has delivered exactly what we’d expect: a slow grind higher. The mid-December “rug pull” played out cleanly, ending with a spike down that failed during the following Asia session. CPI then provided the fuel to carry us into the end of that week, finishing Friday, […]
December 21, 2025
ES Weekend Dec 21
Again a short plan as I’m out and about. Will probably not do much this week other than find dips to buy. This week may play out like Thanksgiving – a slow grind. Maybe Santa rally started, but maybe it’s a quick trap as it’s usually closer to the end […]
December 13, 2025
ES Weekend Dec 14 (Abbreviated)
I’m not going to have a chance to fully write out a full plan/review, but we haven’t really moved much from last week either. So that plan is relatively the same. The chart is updated but debating on keeping the WK pivot where it is. However, that was such a […]
December 7, 2025
ES Weekend Dec 7
Both the daily and weekly timeframes are still pushing higher, while the monthly remains in balance. That backdrop helps explain the sharp response off the recent lows and the increasingly choppy behavior as we approach the highs. Until we see a decisive break out of this upper end of the […]
November 16, 2025
ES Weekend Nov 16
We finished the week essentially unchanged, forming an inside week and closing almost exactly where we ended the prior Friday. Early in the week, we opened with a gap up on news and pushed directly into the upper target zone at 6897-6908, which also aligned with the weekly expected high an area where I noted caution […]
November 9, 2025
ES Weekend Nov 9
This past week’s breakdown was built on value migrating below the prior week’s VAL (6,868). That shift lower was confirmed as the remainder of the week continued to build value and price beneath the upper distribution (6,840s), ultimately leaving OTFU (one-time framing up) across both the daily and weekly timeframes. The key takeaway heading into this week […]
October 25, 2025
ES Weekend Oct 26
Some turbulence while I was away. The main objective since October 8 has been to clean up the ETH all-time high (6812.25). Since then, headlines around the “100-155%” China tariff — on, off, on again, handshakes, meetings planned, and so on — kept the market chopping inside the October 10 […]
October 4, 2025
ES Weekend Oct 5
Will have to make this a brief as I found myself out of town. Last week’s two key long setups 6676–6680 (Wednesday ETH) and 6741–6744 (Thursday RTH) offered excellent opportunities, with the primary target being the ETH all-time high cleanup. From last week: If we fail to hold above 6700–6706, […]